Counterparties: Nvidia , Southwest Airlines , Constellation Brands
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Analysis : on balance theory based on import-export for tariffs decisions , the cars have an impact X , the food and alcohol have an impact Y , the gas have an impact Z, to the final tariff estimate is T , where T = (impact X) + (impact Y) + (impact Z) .
Southwest Airlines ( LUV ) scenario:
Constallation Brands ( STZ ) scenario:
America’s top beer is a Mexican import. Now it is caught in the crossfire of President Trump’s economic strategies by tariff . Shares of Modelo Especial brewer Constellation Brands (STZ) fell about 5% Monday morning, after the U.S. announced a 25% tariff on Mexican goods. Modelo dethroned AB InBev’s Bud Light as America’s top-selling beer in 2023 during a Bud Light boycott.
Constellation’s Mexican imports, which include Modelo, Corona and Pacifico beers as well as Casa Noble tequila, must be made in Mexico to be considered authentic. Constellation last month lowered its profit and sales forecasts for the current fiscal year.
Chief Executive Bill Newlands said last month that the company’s response to the impending import tax would depend on the terms of the tariffs. Updates Enterprise net sales growth to 4% - 6%, reported operating income decline to (68)% - (36)% including an expected Wine and Spirits goodwill impairment loss of approximately $1.5 - $2.5 billion(2), and comparable operating income growth to 8% - 9%.".
On these large elements I expect a balance in the long term. A business cycle rich in investment news ,consequently the balance data estimate hev to to be upgraded in (x-Time) .
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Counterparties: Workday , Glencore , Bumble.
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Workday ( WDAY ) scenario:
Glencore ( GLNCY ) scenario:
Miner Glencore , FTSE 100 member , considers ditching London Stock Exchange listing Group may move primary listing to New York or elsewhere , to get optimal valuation , in fresh blow to UK market. Swiss-based Glencore has been listed in London since 2011. If Glencore does go, it would be one of the largest companies to leave London, given its market value of more than £40bn. Last year, 88 companies delisted from the London Stock Exchange or moved their primary listing from its main market. Just 18 listed during 2024. Glencore said it was considering its listing location as it reported a fall in underlying profits in 2024 for the second year in a row. Lower commodity prices were blamed. The company was among the biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 on Wednesday, with its shares down by about 7%.
Bumble ( BMBL ) scenario:
Neil Shah has been appointed to the newly created role of Chief Business Officer, a key leadership position with responsibility for the execution of Bumble’s strategic transformation, including driving the Company’s revenue model, pricing strategy, and partnerships. Bumble forecast its first-quarter revenue below analysts' estimate on Tuesday, signaling that the dating app operator's efforts to boost growth are taking longer than expected, sending its shares down 16% in extended trading. Bumble, however, is increasingly investing in marketing initiatives and generative AI-driven features to attract more young users. Bumble Inc. is the parent company of Bumble, Bumble For Friends, Badoo, Fruitz and Official. Bumble said it expects to see a temporary decline in paying users by 100,000 to 120,000 in the near term, as it is in the early stages of this process. Bumble's total average revenue per paying user decreased to $20.58, compared with $22.64 a year ago.
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Counterparties: MGM resort , AppLovin.
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MGM Resorts International ( MGM ) scenario:
The gaming industry is growing , also considering the specific competitor Boyd Gaming (BYD), International Game Technology (IGT).
AppLovin ( APP )scenario:
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Counterparties: Nissan , Amazon.
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Nissan ( NSANY ) scenario:
Amazon ( AMZN ) scenario:
AI Innovation , March 2025 , has achieved a significant milestone of reaching $1 billion in aggregate sales over the past four years in AWS Marketplace, a digital catalog with thousands of software listings from independent software vendors that make it easy to find, test, buy, and deploy software that runs on Amazon Web Services (AWS). Okta and AWS are also expanding their collaboration. AI Innovation Artificial intelligence (AI) is changing how Okta detects and responds to Identity threats. With Okta AI, the company embeds AI into its products to help organizations build better experiences and protect against cyberattacks. AWS is one of Okta’s key AI integrations. Okta is also an Identity Provider (IDP) of choice for Amazon Q, the company’s generative AI-powered assistant for developers and businesses.
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